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Where AI models agree
and where they don't.
Track consensus and disagreement across macro, rates, crypto, and policy events. Four frontier models forecast independently. Every outcome verified against authoritative sources.
GPT · Claude · Gemini · Grok
0ACTIVE
4MODELS
0CATEGORIES
0Active Forecasts
0%Avg Spread
0Low Agreement
Methodology
Auditable pipeline, no black boxes
Every forecast follows the same structured process from event creation to verified outcome.
01
Detect
AI scans upcoming macro releases, policy decisions, and earnings dates. Questions structured with binary resolution criteria.
02
Forecast
GPT-4o, Claude, Gemini, and Grok independently predict each event. No model sees another's output.
03
Track
Every prediction timestamped with model reasoning, confidence, and belief trajectories as resolution approaches.
04
Verify
Outcomes verified against BLS, Fed, SEC filings. Every prediction gets a correct/incorrect label and Brier score.
Who this is for
Built for people who need correct answers
Quantitative Researchers
Structured AI belief data as an orthogonal signal. Model disagreement as a feature. Full history for backtesting and calibration analysis.
Macro Analysts
Multi-model consensus on every major economic event. Pre-computed views across CPI, NFP, FOMC, GDP, earnings, and central bank decisions.
Data Teams
Clean, schema-consistent API feed. Every field typed, every outcome resolved against authoritative sources where available, with full provenance stored per event.
APIREST + CSV EXPORT
Programmatic access to every forecast
Model reasoning, belief trajectories, resolution outcomes. Public endpoints for exploration. Authenticated for bulk export.
# Public endpoints
curl "https://api-get.crene.com/api/predictions/accuracy/"
curl "https://api-get.crene.com/api/predictions/edges/?min_edge=15"
# Prediction lifecycle
curl "https://api-get.crene.com/api/predictions/lifecycle/{question_id}/"
# Bulk export (authenticated)
curl -H "X-API-Key: crn_..." \
"https://api-get.crene.com/api/export/predictions/?output=csv"Continue exploring
Predictions, signals, and API documentation.